
The risk-adjusted covered interest parity
The conventional covered interest rate parity has failed in modern FX markets. A new HKIMR paper suggests that this is not a failure of markets or principles, but a failure to adjust the parity correctly for relative counterparty and liquidity risk across currency areas. Specifically, FX swap rates deviate from relative money market rates due to counterparty risk and from relative risk free (OIS) rates due to liquidity risk. Correct adjustment helps to detect true FX market dislocations.